Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
