Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara0 - 1CRB
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Ceara 1-0 CRB(CRB advances on penalties)
In the Serie B table, these sides are separated by just a single point, with Ceara slightly in front, and we expect to see another close one on Thursday. At the end of the day, though, we believe that CRB's consistency in recent weeks will give them the confidence boost they need to sneak past Vozao. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for CRB had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | CRB |
54.89% ( 0.02) | 24.2% ( -0.07) | 20.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.33) | 51.46% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 0.29) | 73.27% ( -0.28) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 0.13) | 18.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.22) | 49.96% ( -0.22) |
| CRB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( 0.24) | 39.25% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.04% ( 0.23) | 75.95% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 54.88%
CRB 20.91%
Draw 24.19%
| Ceara | Draw | CRB |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 20.91% |
How you voted: Ceara vs CRB
Ceara
40.0%Draw
60.0%CRB
0.0%5
Head to Head
May 3, 2024
12.30am
Third Round
CRB 
C
vs.
C
