Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba1 - 0Goias
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-0 America Mineiro
Wednesday, December 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, December 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
We said: Cuiaba 0-0 Goias (Goias advances 1-0 on aggregate)
All season long, Goias have looked compact and poised along the backline, and we believe they will be able to handle the Cuiaba press and advance. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Goias |
49.4% ( -0.22) | 26.26% ( 0.05) | 24.34% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% ( -0.04) | 56.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -0.04) | 77.12% ( 0.03) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.12) | 22.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( -0.17) | 56.42% ( 0.17) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.13) | 38.49% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.76% ( 0.13) | 75.24% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Cuiaba 49.39%
Goias 24.34%
Draw 26.25%
| Cuiaba | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.34% |
How you voted: Cuiaba vs Goias
Cuiaba
18.2%Draw
45.5%Goias
36.4%11
Form Guide
