Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 0Cuiaba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Cuiaba.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Cuiaba |
58.49% ( -0.1) | 23.54% ( 0.14) | 17.97% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( -0.59) | 52.61% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( -0.51) | 74.26% ( 0.51) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0.25) | 17.74% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.59% ( -0.44) | 48.41% ( 0.44) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.39) | 43.18% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.56% ( -0.33) | 79.44% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 58.48%
Cuiaba 17.97%
Draw 23.53%
| Gremio | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.48% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.97% |
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 10.30pm
Nov 18, 2020 7.30pm
