MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 22:01:30| >> :60:15:15:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Palmeiras
4 - 2
Barcelona

Gomez (46'), Piquerez (58'), Artur (70'), Endrick (86')
Gomez (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fydriszewski (33', 38')
Diaz (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 3-1 Barcelona SC

 Having lost convincingly in the reverse fixture, Barcelona are clear underdogs to get anything from this game. While we feel that their attacking approach could lead to a goal, it may only be a consolation with Palmeiras' superior quality expected to prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 78.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 7.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBarcelona SC
78.46% (0.244 0.24) 13.85% (-0.117 -0.12) 7.69% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.38% (0.11099999999999 0.11)34.62% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.44% (0.123 0.12)56.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.94% (0.076999999999998 0.08)7.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.22% (0.196 0.2)25.78% (-0.191 -0.19)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.16% (-0.223 -0.22)48.84% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.16% (-0.162 -0.16)83.84% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 78.45%
    Barcelona SC 7.69%
    Draw 13.85%
PalmeirasDrawBarcelona SC
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 10.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.09% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.76% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.69% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 78.45%
1-1 @ 6.55% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 13.85%
0-1 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 7.69%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Barcelona

Palmeiras
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barcelona SC
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Barcelona
0-2
Palmeiras
rhs 2.0
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