Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona2 - 1Bolivar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Bolivar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona SC | Draw | Bolivar |
46.23% ( -0.19) | 26.02% ( -0.01) | 27.75% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
