Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Huachipato in this match.