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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase - Quarter-Finals
May 16, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
River Plate

Tevez (11')
Fabra (38'), Buffarini (43'), Villa (72'), Cardona (88')
FT
(aet)
Alvarez (68')
Perez (13'), Maidana (58'), Martinez (90+3')
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase - Quarter-Finals clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
27.8%26.28%45.92%
Both teams to score 50.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14%53.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68%75.32%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63%34.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93%71.07%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59%23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6%57.39%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 27.8%
    River Plate 45.91%
    Draw 26.27%
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.8%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 8.48%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.91%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs River Plate

Boca Juniors
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
River Plate
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 9pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-1
River Plate
Villa (41' pen.)
Zambrano (16'), Medina (65'), Villa (73'), Varela (87')
Zambrano (69')
Palavecino (67')
Casco (73')
Casco (79')
Jan 3, 2021 12.30am
Fase Campeon
Boca Juniors
2-2
River Plate
Buffarini (13'), Campuzano (29'), Tevez (90+3'), Villa (90+4')
Campuzano (58')
Carrascal (45+2'), Perez (62'), Montiel (75')
Perez (80')
Oct 23, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Boca Juniors
1-0
River Plate
Hurtado (80')
Mac Allister (45'), Marcone (54'), Tevez (72')

Fernandez (55'), Perez (79'), Diaz (88'), Scocco (89'), Martinez (92')
Oct 2, 2019 1.30am
Sep 1, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
0-0
Boca Juniors
Perez (33'), Casco (84'), Fernandez (87')
Izquierdoz (18'), Lopez (24'), Marcone (37'), Hurtado (41'), Capaldo (55'), Andrada (64'), Fabra (91')
rhs 2.0
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