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Juventus logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Monza

Juventus
2 - 1
Monza

Kean (8'), Chiesa (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valoti (24')
Antov (59'), Rovella (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Napoli 5-1 Juventus
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cremonese 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Monza

 For all Monza's improvement and Juve's stumbles, it remains a tall task for the visitors to reach the quarter-finals given the calibre of their opponents. Factoring in a tally of just two wins from nine away fixtures this term, even a much-altered Juve side should see off the Biancorossi's threat and progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Monza had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawMonza
50.96% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (0.010000000000005 0.01)47.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.26% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 50.95%
    Monza 24.94%
    Draw 24.1%
JuventusDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.94%

How you voted: Juventus vs Monza

Juventus
83.5%
Draw
12.6%
Monza
3.9%
127
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Monza
1-0
Juventus
Gytkjaer (74')

Bremer (22')
rhs 2.0
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