Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
54.62% ( -0.08) | 22.76% ( 0.03) | 22.62% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% ( -0.09) | 43.45% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% ( -0.09) | 65.85% ( 0.08) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( -0.06) | 15.82% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% ( -0.11) | 44.99% ( 0.11) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.91% ( 0) | 33.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.32% ( 0) | 69.68% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |