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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Juventus logo

Napoli
5 - 1
Juventus

Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
di Maria (42')
Danilo (44')

The Match

Match Report

Napoli move 10 points clear at the top of Serie A courtesy of a famous 5-1 victory over fellow title hopefuls and bitter rivals Juventus at the Estadio Diego Maradona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
54.62% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.76% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 22.62% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)43.45% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.85% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)15.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-0.107 -0.11)44.99% (0.108 0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.68% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 54.62%
    Juventus 22.62%
    Draw 22.75%
NapoliDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: Napoli vs Juventus

Napoli
60.5%
Draw
18.6%
Juventus
20.9%
263
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
1-1
Napoli
Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')
Mertens (23')
Demme (87')
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Politano (57'), Koulibaly (85')
Elmas (31'), Lozano (88')
Morata (10')
Locatelli (45')
Apr 7, 2021 5.45pm
Juventus
2-1
Napoli
Ronaldo (13'), Dybala (73')
Sandro (54')
Insigne (90' pen.)
Koulibaly (22'), Rrahmani (81')
Feb 13, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-0
Juventus
Insigne (31' pen.)
Di Lorenzo (23'), Bakayoko (56')

Chiellini (30'), Cuadrado (45'), Rabiot (90+2')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Supercoppa Italiana 2020-21
Juventus
2-0
Napoli
Ronaldo (64'), Morata (90+5')
Ronaldo (74')

Zielinski (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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