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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Eswatini
2 - 0
Lesotho

Gamedze (13'), Ndzinisa (18')
Mamba (61'), Mkhwanazi (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lebokollane (70'), Makepe (70'), Mafatle (79')
Rasethuntsa (83')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, July 8 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Mauritius
Friday, July 8 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawLesotho
47.62% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.09% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.052999999999997 0.05)50.36% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.046000000000003 0.05)72.3% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.012999999999991 0.01)21.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.03% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.049999999999997 0.05)33.07% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.054000000000002 0.05)69.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 47.62%
    Lesotho 27.09%
    Draw 25.28%
EswatiniDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.09%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2021 1pm
Eswatini
3-1
Lesotho
Badenhorst (42'), Mkhontfo (57'), Mamba (78')
P. Figareido (30'), Mamba (45+3'), Mabelesa (66')
Khutlang (45')
Bereng (72')
Thaba-Ntso (7')
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