COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Lesotho2 - 1Malawi
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Malawi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Malawi |
51.31% ( 0.01) | 23.8% ( 0) | 24.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.02) | 45.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.02) | 68.06% ( 0.02) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0) | 17.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.01) | 48.6% ( 0.01) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( -0.02) | 32.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.1% ( -0.02) | 68.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lesotho 51.31%
Malawi 24.89%
Draw 23.8%
| Lesotho | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.89% |
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2019
2pm
