COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Eswatini1 - 0Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eswatini in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Zambia |
| 39.78% | 28.9% | 31.32% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.31% | 81.69% |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% | 35.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.23% | 72.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Eswatini 39.77%
Zambia 31.32%
Draw 28.89%
| Eswatini | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 0.94% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.39% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.98% Total : 31.32% |
How you voted: Eswatini vs Zambia
Eswatini
25.0%Draw
8.3%Zambia
66.7%12
