COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2021 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Zambia1 - 2Lesotho
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Lesotho |
| 50.14% | 23.76% | 26.1% |
| Both teams to score 56.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% | 44.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.9% |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% | 17.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.41% | 48.59% |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Zambia 50.14%
Lesotho 26.1%
Draw 23.76%
| Zambia | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.14% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.1% |
