Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.

Result
Emmen	Draw	Jong AZ
58.66% ( -0.42)	21.07% ( 0.17)	20.27% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

-0.45)

38.72% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-0.48)

61.03% (

0.46)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0.27)

12.95% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.57% (

-0.54)

39.42% (

0.54)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4% (

-0.02)

32.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86% (

-0.02)

69.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Emmen 58.66%

Jong AZ 20.27%

Draw 21.07%

Emmen	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.7% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.27%