Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Willem II
29.94% ( -0.16)	24.29% ( -0.02)	45.76% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 58.03% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.65% (

-0)

44.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

-0)

66.73% (

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.11)

27.89% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

-0.14)

63.5% (

0.14)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

0.07)

19.52% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.58% (

0.12)

51.42% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 29.95%

Willem II 45.76%

Draw 24.29%

Jong AZ	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.95%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.76%