Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.