MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 22:35:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Issouf Bayo (9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford

Given their contrasting home and away records, many will back Plymouth to come through this contest. However, we are backing an entertaining share of the spoils, a result that would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
39.21% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 23.45% (0.251 0.25) 37.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.289 -1.29)38.14% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-1.385 -1.39)60.41% (1.387 1.39)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)19.83% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.954 -0.95)51.91% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.71% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-1.052 -1.05)53.32% (1.054 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 39.21%
    Watford 37.34%
    Draw 23.45%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.248 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
36.2%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
42.1%
152
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-0
Plymouth
Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')

Houghton (45+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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