Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.