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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
48.61% | 24.06% | 27.32% |
Both teams to score 56.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% | 44.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% | 67.3% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% | 18.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% | 49.87% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% | 30.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% | 66.18% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |