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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
40.25% ( 0.07) | 26.6% ( -0) | 33.16% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% ( -0.01) | 53.08% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( -0.01) | 74.66% ( 0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( 0.03) | 25.91% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% ( 0.04) | 60.9% ( -0.05) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( -0.05) | 30.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( -0.06) | 66.25% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |