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Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Emmen

Sparta
3 - 1
Emmen

van Crooij (13'), Vriends (82'), Engels (90+5')
Abels (21'), Lauritsen (47'), Verschueren (90+1'), Engels (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romeny (51')
Araujo (61'), Assehnoun (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Sparta
Sunday, October 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Emmen

Emmen have been toothless in attack all season long and have scored the fewest number of goals in the Eredivisie so far. While we expect them to get on the scoresheet here, we are also backing Sparta to narrowly come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
40.25% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 26.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.91% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)60.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)30.11% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.058 -0.06)66.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 40.24%
    Emmen 33.16%
    Draw 26.59%
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Sparta vs Emmen

Sparta Rotterdam
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Emmen
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2021 7pm
Emmen
1-1
Sparta
De Leeuw (90+6' pen.)
Verrips (78'), Laursen (90+4')
Duarte (43')
Kharchouch (90+3')
Dec 4, 2020 7pm
Sparta
2-1
Emmen
Duarte (22'), Harroui (58')
Gravenberch (80')
Araujo (52')
Pena (5'), Jansen (6'), Ben Moussa (79')
Mar 1, 2020 3.45pm
Sparta
5-1
Emmen
Joosten (2'), Rayhi (29'), Vriends (32'), Araujo (81' og.), Harroui (86')
De Leeuw (54')
Ben Moussa (37'), Chacon (75')
Dec 15, 2019 11.15am
Emmen
2-0
Sparta
Pena (18' pen.), De Leeuw (29' pen.)
Veendorp (37')

Auassar (50'), Dervisoglu (86')
May 20, 2018 1.30pm
Sparta
1-3
Emmen
Spierings (28')
Fischer (43'), Vriends (70'), Dervisoglu (84')
Dougall (87')
Chacon (38'), Jansen (59'), Bannink (66')
Loen (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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