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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax


de Guzman (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 6-1 Groningen
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Ajax

Ajax's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the defending champions to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
9.02% (0.083 0.08) 15.07% (0.157 0.16) 75.91% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)35.78% (0.511 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.15% (-0.564 -0.56)57.85% (0.567 0.57)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.186 -0.19)46.58% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.143 -0.14)82.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)7.85% (0.1689 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.17% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)27.83% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 9.02%
    Ajax 75.9%
    Draw 15.07%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
1-0 @ 2.8% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
1-1 @ 7.11% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
0-2 @ 11.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 75.9%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
5.6%
Ajax
86.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
Jan 19, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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