Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce5 - 0Zimbru
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Fenerbahce and Zimbru.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Zimbru 1-0 La Fiorita
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.84%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 3.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Zimbru |
86.84% ( -0.06) | 9.19% ( 0.03) | 3.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.09) | 27.67% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.66% ( -0.11) | 48.34% ( 0.11) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.78% ( -0.02) | 4.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.08) | 17.57% ( 0.07) |
| Zimbru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.34% ( 0.01) | 55.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.73% ( 0.01) | 88.27% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce 86.83%
Zimbru 3.97%
Draw 9.19%
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Zimbru |
| 3-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 86.83% | 1-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 9.19% | 0-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 3.97% |
How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Zimbru
Fenerbahce
88.9%Draw
11.1%Zimbru
0.0%9
