Though the pressure is piled high on their shoulders, Fenerbahce have a clear advantage in terms of both attacking options and squad depth, which could prove the difference in Goztepe. Having also seen off Basaksehir twice in the past few months, they will know what it takes to secure a win that brings silverware back to the club after several years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
66.24% ( -2.66)	18.24% ( 0.8)	15.52% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.49% (

0.37)

33.51% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.69% (

0.42)

55.31% (

-0.41)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57% (

-0.51)

9.43% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.31% (

-1.22)

31.69% (

1.22)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

2.69)

34.56% (

-2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

2.76)

71.28% (

-2.75)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 66.24%

Istanbul Basaksehir 15.52%

Draw 18.24%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.62) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.67) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.29) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.69% Total : 66.24%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.24%	1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.53% Total : 15.52%