Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mewa Arena
Osijek1 - 1Zira FK
Matkovic (38')
Pusic (37'), Ademi (74'), Cavlina (85'), Duarte (90+5')
Pusic (37'), Ademi (74'), Cavlina (85'), Duarte (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Utzig (90+6' pen.)
Hacili (2'), Nuriev (34'), Ibrahimli (57')
Hacili (2'), Nuriev (34'), Ibrahimli (57')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Zira FK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Sibenik
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 1-2 Zira FK
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 5.00 | Kulenovic |
| 2 | Rijeka | 4 | 4.00 | Butic |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2.00 | Livaja |
| 4 | Sibenik | 2 | 2.00 | Agyemang |
| 5 | Osijek | 1 | 1.00 | Soldo |
| 6 | Slaven Koprivnica | 1 | 1.00 | Sakota |
| 7 | Gorica | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 10 | Varazdin | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Zira FK had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Zira FK win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Zira FK |
| 60.96% | 23.3% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
