UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Stadionul Central

SSC Farul
3 - 2
Urartu

(SSC Farul win 6-4 on aggregate)

Baluta (27'), Mazilu (45+4'), Larie (90+5')
Popescu (60'), Vitor Ferreira Mosca (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Maksimenko (23'), Zotko (38')
Piloyan (34'), Zotko (43'), Grigoryan (59'), Antwi (77'), Aghasaryan (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between SSC Farul and Urartu.

Form, Standings, Stats

SSC Farul

All competitions

Last Game: SSC Farul 4-1 Voluntari
Saturday, July 22 at 4.15pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Goals
for

Urartu

All competitions

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Urartu win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.

Result
SSC Farul	Draw	Urartu
51.45% ( -0.2)	24.49% ( 0.06)	24.06% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.55% (

-0.1)

49.45% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51% (

-0.09)

71.49% (

0.09)

SSC Farul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.12)

19.21% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-0.19)

50.9% (

0.2)

Urartu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

0.07)

35.11% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14% (

0.07)

71.86% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

SSC Farul 51.44%

Urartu 24.06%

Draw 24.49%

SSC Farul	Draw	Urartu
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.06%