We said: Dinamo Zagreb 0-2 Sevilla (Sevilla win 5-1 on aggregate)
It would be fair to say that Sevilla do not arrive in Croatia with the wind in their sails, as injuries, suspensions and a spate of draws take their toll on Lopetegui's side domestically.
However, the Spanish giants needed no second invitation to stamp their authority on Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg and will expect to advance to the last-16 with ease in midweek.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.