We said: FC Twente 2-2 Lazio
Having been handed a tough start to their fixture list, Twente may have to settle for a third successive Europa League draw.
Lazio have scored fairly freely this season - particularly in Europe - and it could develop into an open encounter, with the spoils ultimately shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.