Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Badshot Lea win with a probability of 60.36%. A win for Balham had a probability of 20.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Badshot Lea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Balham win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Badshot Lea would win this match.