Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Barton Town Old Boys had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Barton Town Old Boys win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.