FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Everton2 - 0Peterborough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
41
We said: Everton 1-0 Peterborough United
When trying to identify a potential cup upset this weekend, many may look to this fixture given Everton's dreadful recent form, but even with all of their troubles in attack, the hosts should be able to get past their League One opponents. Peterborough have never beaten top-flight opposition at this stage in the FA Cup, and Everton have not lost at home to a lower-league side in 14 years, so a place in round four should be theirs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Peterborough United |
42.55% ( -0.04) | 24.07% ( 0.01) | 33.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.43% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
