MX23RW : Monday, March 31 02:14:04| >> :600:2910668:2910668:
Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Northampton Town

Peterborough
3 - 0
Northampton

Jade-Jones (48'), De Havilland (52'), Odoh (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoskins (54')
Eyoma (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 3-0 Northampton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Northampton Town

 Neither side are in the strongest form ahead of Tuesday's clash, but as this is a derby match, the increased intensity could see both sides score in a close-fought contest. However, Ferguson's side have shown themselves to be particularly strong in the EFL Trophy, and their offensive capability may see them get the edge over their rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
64.91% (-0.726 -0.73) 18.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 16.46% (0.754 0.75)
Both teams to score 60.1% (1.976 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (1.702 1.7)33.47% (-1.701 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.73% (1.918 1.92)55.26% (-1.917 -1.92)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.29900000000001 0.3)9.73% (-0.2981 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.61% (0.69199999999999 0.69)32.39% (-0.691 -0.69)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (1.975 1.98)33.43% (-1.972 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (2.104 2.1)70.06% (-2.103 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 64.91%
    Northampton Town 16.46%
    Draw 18.62%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.586 -0.59)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.86% (-0.34 -0.34)
4-1 @ 4.38% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.236 0.24)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 64.91%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.238 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 16.46%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Northampton

Peterborough United
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Northampton Town
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Peterborough
McGeehan (28', 84')
Mothersille (39')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Peterborough
5-1
Northampton
Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
rhs 2.0
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