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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mike Riding Ground

Longridge Town
1 - 3
1874 Northwich

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Longridge Town and 1874 Northwich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Longridge Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Longridge Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.06%) and 3-1 (5.03%). The likeliest 1874 Northwich win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Longridge TownDraw1874 Northwich
40.94%21.92%37.14%
Both teams to score 69.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.68%30.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42%51.58%
Longridge Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2%15.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06%44.94%
1874 Northwich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27%47.73%
Score Analysis
    Longridge Town 40.94%
    1874 Northwich 37.14%
    Draw 21.92%
Longridge TownDraw1874 Northwich
2-1 @ 8.17%
1-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 7.16%
0-0 @ 2.74%
3-3 @ 2.57%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.83%
3-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.14%

rhs 2.0
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