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Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
Emmen

Heracles
4 - 0
Emmen

Bakis (26', 44', 64'), Vloet (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Araujo (28'), Bernadou (45+1')

Preview: Heracles vs. Emmen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Heracles host Emmen in the Eredivisie on Tuesday with the visitors still searching for their first league win of the season.

Heracles, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back from the weekend's home defeat to Vitesse and move up from 12th in the table.


Match preview

Indeed, having finished eighth last season, Heracles have found things tougher this season, taking 15 points from 15 games so far.

Frank Wormuth, who has been in charge since July 2018, appears to be struggling to inject offensive edge into his side, with them only averaging one goal per game and failing to score at all in three of their last seven matches.

Without midfielder Rai Vloet, who has scored seven of the club's 15 league goals, they would likely find themselves embroiled in a relegation battle. However, with a six point cushion and more quality on the books than most of the sides below them, Wormuth will not be panicking just yet.

A home game against bottom-placed Emmen on Tuesday certainly represents an excellent opportunity for Heracles to kickstart their campaign.

Having competed in the Eredivisie for the first time in the club's entire history in the 2018-19 campaign, meanwhile, Emmen's three-year spell in Holland's top flight is at serious risk of coming to an end.

Dick Lukkien's side have failed to win any of their 15 league games this season, drawing five and losing 10 to lie five points from safety.

Lukkien may feel fortunate not to be further entrenched at the foot of the table, taking hope from the fact that the five sides above Emmen are all also averaging less than one point per game so far this season.

If the 48-year-old can tighten up the defence, which has conceded 24 goals in just eight home matches, then they will have an outside chance of extending their time at the elite level.

Heracles Eredivisie form: LDLWWL

Emmen Eredivisie form: LLDDLL
Emmen form (all competitions): LDWDLL


Team News

Heracles are likely to be without Navajo Bakboord with a knee injury, but otherwise Wormuth appears to have a full squad to choose from.

Robin Propper, who is the younger brother of Brighton & Hove Albion midfielder Davy Propper, should continue at the heart of the defence.

Emmen, meanwhile, will remain without Luciano Carty, but also appear to have a fairly small injury list.

Lukkien could opt to make a few changes after the disappointing 4-1 defeat to FC Twente, with Nikolai Laursen likely to come into the side.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Breukers, Rente, Propper, Quagliata; Schoofs, Vloet, Kiomourtzoglu; Van der Water, Bakis, Burgzorg

Emmen possible starting lineup:
Telgenkamp; Bijl, Araujo, Van Rhijn, Cavlan; Laursen, Bernadou, Veendorp, Pena; Jansen, de Leeuw


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 2-0 Emmen

We can envisage Heracles getting back to winning ways against Emmen, who look devoid of any confidence at present.

The hosts are not exactly free-scoring this season, though, so may have to remain patient and be clinical with the chances which should come their way.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs Emmen

Heracles
89.1%
Draw
6.5%
Emmen
4.3%
46
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