Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
MTK	Draw	Ujpest
36.34% ( 1.53)	25.09% ( -0.02)	38.56% ( -1.5)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

0.28)

46.1% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

0.27)

68.4% (

-0.27)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

24.83% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

1.37)

59.42% (

-1.38)

Ujpest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.64)

23.64% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.94)

57.73% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

MTK 36.34%

Ujpest 38.56%

Draw 25.09%

MTK	Draw	Ujpest
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.56%