Regarding individual quality, the Hondurans seem to possess more than their opponents, but their backline is inexperienced and learning how to remain composed when under pressure, something they struggled with against Argentina last week.
There may not be a lot of difference makers on Guatemala, but there are few teams in CONCACAF as committed to defending as they are, and lucky for them, La H are far from the most potent side in the region.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
-0.2) 
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