MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 03:11:47| >> :120:5642:5642:
Honduras national football team
International Friendly
Sep 28, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino
Guatemala national football team

Honduras
2 - 1
Guatemala

Samayoa (70' og.), Solani (87')
Arriaga (30'), Nunez (76'), Solani (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lom (32')
Saravia (35'), Rodas (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Honduras and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 4-1 Guatemala
Sunday, September 25 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Honduras 1-1 Guatemala

Regarding individual quality, the Hondurans seem to possess more than their opponents, but their backline is inexperienced and learning how to remain composed when under pressure, something they struggled with against Argentina last week. There may not be a lot of difference makers on Guatemala, but there are few teams in CONCACAF as committed to defending as they are, and lucky for them, La H are far from the most potent side in the region. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawGuatemala
38.09% (-0.196 -0.2) 26.09% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 35.82% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.387 -0.39)50.58% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.342 -0.34)72.5% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.288 -0.29)25.94% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.388 -0.39)60.94% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.122 -0.12)27.23% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)62.65% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 38.09%
    Guatemala 35.82%
    Draw 26.08%
HondurasDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.82%

How you voted: Honduras vs Guatemala

Honduras
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Guatemala
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
Guatemala
2-1
Honduras
Lom (24', 66' pen.)
Hernandez (17'), Barrientos (29')
Pineda (68' pen.)
Alfredo Lopez (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!