As patient and committed as the Guatemalans have been, we feel that they will be outclassed by an experienced Colombian side who have been just as stingy on the back end of late, while boasting a lot more quality than their opponents in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.41%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Guatemala
55.63% ( 0.19)	27.15% ( -0.12)	17.22% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 36.7% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.68% (

0.25)

65.32% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.88% (

0.17)

84.11% (

-0.17)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.19)

24% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

0.28)

58.25% (

-0.28)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.29% (

0.05)

51.71% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.19% (

0.04)

85.81% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Colombia 55.62%

Guatemala 17.22%

Draw 27.15%

Colombia	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 17.71% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.62%	0-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.22%