Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.
