Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a win it was 1-0 (7.39%).
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
19.84% | 25.12% | 55.04% |
Both teams to score 45.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.89% | 56.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.82% | 77.18% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% | 43.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.65% | 79.35% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% | 20.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% | 52.8% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.84% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 13.96% 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |