MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 10:54:00| >> :120:41951:41951:
Central African Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Larbi Zaouli
Madagascar national football team

CAR
vs.
Madagascar

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CAR 0-1 Gabon
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Central African Republic 1-0 Madagascar

With home support absent due to the neutral venue, the Central African Republic could face a challenge, but their strong record in this fixture, coupled with Madagascar's recent struggles, suggests they have the edge to grind out a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Central African Republic win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Madagascar has a probability of 34.58% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Madagascar win is 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
36.83% (1.627 1.63) 28.58% (0.261 0.26) 34.58% (-1.888 -1.89)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6% (-0.961 -0.96)60.39% (0.959 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46% (-0.734 -0.73)80.54% (0.732 0.73)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.551 0.55)31.42% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (0.633 0.63)67.79% (-0.634 -0.63)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-1.715 -1.72)32.88% (1.713 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-1.953 -1.95)69.45% (1.951 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 36.83%
    Madagascar 34.58%
    Draw 28.57%
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.323 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.58%

Who will win Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between CAR and Madagascar?

Central African Republic
Draw
Madagascar
Central African Republic
0.0%
Draw
100%
Madagascar
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
CAR
2-0
Madagascar
Mafouta (40', 82')
Mar 23, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
0-3
CAR
Ngoma (36'), Mafouta (45', 79')
rhs 2.0
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