La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
2 - 4
Barcelona

Isco (56', 59')
Vinicius (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torres (21', 48', 90+2'), Felix (90')
de Jong (57'), Roque (90+6')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Unionistas 1-3 Barcelona
Thursday, January 18 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Betis 1-1 Barcelona

Real Betis' absentees for this match meant that we were incredibly close to predicting a Barcelona win on Sunday. The Catalan outfit are also missing some key players, though, and we are finding it difficult to back them with any real confidence, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw in Seville. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Barcelona
24.99% ( -0.48)	23.04% ( -0.07)	51.96% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72% (

-0.1)

42.28% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31% (

-0.1)

64.68% (

0.09)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

-0.43)

30.43% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

-0.51)

66.64% (

0.51)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66% (

0.16)

16.33% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07% (

0.29)

45.92% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Real Betis 24.99%

Barcelona 51.96%

Draw 23.04%

Real Betis	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.99%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.04%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.96%