Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.