Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.