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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

Both sides will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note, but we are struggling to back either with any real confidence at the moment. Valencia have drawn eight times on home soil this term, and we are predicting another stalemate in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
35.9% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 26.37% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 37.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)51.8% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)73.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.76% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)63.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)26.7% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)61.96% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.9%
    Celta Vigo 37.72%
    Draw 26.37%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
Draw
Celta Vigo
Valencia
45.7%
Draw
39.7%
Celta Vigo
14.7%
116
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
Aug 24, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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