Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
33.2% ( 0) | 26.62% ( -0.01) | 40.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.18% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.03) | 74.74% ( -0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( 0.02) | 30.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.02) | 66.27% ( -0.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% ( 0.02) | 25.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% ( 0.03) | 61.01% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
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