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Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')

Preview: Lazio vs. Cagliari - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A encounter between Lazio and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Lazio play host to Cagliari on Thursday evening looking to halt a five-match winless streak which has ended their hopes of winning the Serie A title.

Although the home side are safely in mid-table, they head into the contest at Stadio Olimpico on the back of six games without success.


Match preview

Lazio head coach Simone Inzaghi pictured in November 2018© Reuters

While Simone Inzaghi has received widespread praise for the job he has done with Lazio this season, the former striker must now come through a period of criticism in order to end the campaign on a high.

Four defeats from five games, which includes a defeat at leaders Juventus, have left Lazio in fourth position, 11 points adrift of the defending champions.

Fortunately for I Biancocelesti, rivals Roma sit the same distance behind them in fifth place, putting them under no threat of losing the final Champions League spot.

Nevertheless, with second position still a realistic possibility, there will be a desire to get another victory on the board as soon as possible.

Although Inzaghi will expect at least one win to come from home fixtures with Thursday's opponents or Brescia, Lazio have netted just two goals from open play in their last five encounters.

Like their hosts, Cagliari are becoming increasing desperate to end a prolonged period without a maximum return, a run which stretches back to June 27.

However, four of their last six outings have ended in draws, including against in-form Sassuolo on Saturday evening in a game where they played at a man disadvantage from the 48th minute.

Cagliari's equaliser also came after Andrea Carboni's dismissal, further highlighting that this squad are playing for recently-appointed boss Walter Zenga.

Despite being presented with arguably the toughest run-in of all the 20 teams in the division, it may suit a group of players who still have ambitions of ending the campaign in the top half of the table.

Lazio Serie A form: WLLLDL

Cagliari Serie A form: DLDDLD


Team News

Lazio's Luis Alberto in action with Hellas Verona's Miguel Veloso on February 5, 2020© Reuters

Luis Alberto is one of a number of Lazio players who remain absent through injury, something which led to Inzaghi being unable to fill his substitutes' bench for the last match.

Although Patric is back in contention after a ban, Inzaghi may be prepared to name the same starting lineup.

The dismissal of Carboni against Sassuolo will lead to Zenga making at least one alteration for the trip to Rome.

Former Liverpool defender Ragnar Klavan is likely to come into the back three for Cagliari, while Giovanni Simeone is pushing for a recall in the final third.

The return of the Argentine would probably result in Gaston Pereiro having to be content with a spot on the substitutes' bench.

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Strakosha; Bastos, Felipe, Acerbi; Lazzari, Milinkovic-Savic, Cataldi, Parolo, Anderson; Caicedo, Immobile

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Cragno; Cepptelli, Pisacane, Klavan; Nandez, Farago, Rog, Birsa, Mattiello; Simeone, Pedro


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Lazio 2-0 Cagliari

Despite their recent dismal run, we feel that this is the perfect fixture for Lazio to get back on track. Although Cagliari may make things difficult for a time, the home side should be able to come through with a relatively comfortable win.



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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