Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 1Cagliari
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
| 55.54% | 23.69% | 20.78% |
| Both teams to score 50.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% | 49.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% | 17.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.65% | 48.35% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% | 38.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.93% | 75.07% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 55.53%
Cagliari 20.78%
Draw 23.68%
| Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.53% Total : 55.53% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.78% |
