Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
55.54% | 23.69% | 20.78% |
Both teams to score 50.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.42% | 49.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% | 71.61% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% | 17.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.65% | 48.35% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% | 38.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% | 75.07% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.53% Total : 55.53% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |