Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.