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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
MK Dons

Tranmere
1 - 1
MK Dons

Norris (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orsi (32')
Williams (61'), Orsi (64'), Patterson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-1 MK Dons

Tranmere have been largely inconsistent for most of the season due to the lack of firepower upfront, and leaky defence which has been breached 48 times already this term. The home side have shipped 16 goals in their last seven league fixtures, and given that the visitors averaged a goal per game in their last four outings, we back MK Dons to claim a slender 1-0 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
39.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 34.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)50.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.061 -0.06)72.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)25.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.07 -0.07)59.89% (0.067 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)28.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.63%
    MK Dons 34.28%
    Draw 26.08%
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.63%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
Tranmere
White (23')
Lemonheigh-Evans (33'), Nemane (59')
Hendry (90+1')
Patrick (68')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Tranmere
1-2
MK Dons
Morris (12')
Apter (45+2')
Gilbey (9'), Harrison (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
MK Dons
1-0
Tranmere
Eisa (7')
Eisa (37'), MacGillivray (77')

Davies (27')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
MK Dons
1-3
Tranmere
Reeves (42')
Walsh (73'), McGrandles (78')
Agard (45')
Hepburn-Murphy (19', 53', 69')
Jennings (45'), Monthe (58'), Mullin (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale371713748371164
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
17BarrowBarrow37129164245-345
18MK Dons37136184753-645
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Morecambe3886243357-2430
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3779212854-2630


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