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AFC Wimbledon
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
MK Dons

Tranmere
1 - 1
MK Dons

Norris (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orsi (32')
Williams (61'), Orsi (64'), Patterson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-1 MK Dons

Tranmere have been largely inconsistent for most of the season due to the lack of firepower upfront, and leaky defence which has been breached 48 times already this term. The home side have shipped 16 goals in their last seven league fixtures, and given that the visitors averaged a goal per game in their last four outings, we back MK Dons to claim a slender 1-0 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
39.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 34.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)50.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.061 -0.06)72.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)25.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.07 -0.07)59.89% (0.067 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)28.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.63%
    MK Dons 34.28%
    Draw 26.08%
Tranmere RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.63%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
Tranmere
White (23')
Lemonheigh-Evans (33'), Nemane (59')
Hendry (90+1')
Patrick (68')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Tranmere
1-2
MK Dons
Morris (12')
Apter (45+2')
Gilbey (9'), Harrison (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
MK Dons
1-0
Tranmere
Eisa (7')
Eisa (37'), MacGillivray (77')

Davies (27')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
MK Dons
1-3
Tranmere
Reeves (42')
Walsh (73'), McGrandles (78')
Agard (45')
Hepburn-Murphy (19', 53', 69')
Jennings (45'), Monthe (58'), Mullin (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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