Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas1 - 3America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Club America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Club America |
27.15% ( -0.23) | 25.03% ( -0.01) | 47.82% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( -0.13) | 49.23% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( -0.12) | 71.29% ( 0.12) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.24) | 32.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.06% ( -0.28) | 68.94% ( 0.27) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 0.05) | 20.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.83% ( 0.08) | 53.17% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Atlas 27.15%
Club America 47.82%
Draw 25.02%
| Atlas | Draw | Club America |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.15% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.82% |
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.10am
Gameweek 10
Atlas
1-5
America
Aug 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 4
America
1-1
Atlas
Feb 26, 2023 3.05am
